Tom Petrocelli's take on technology. Tom is the author of the book "Data Protection and Information Lifecycle Management" and a natural technology curmudgeon. This blog represents only my own views and not those of my employer, Enterprise Strategy Group. Frankly, mine are more amusing.
Tuesday, August 07, 2007
I don't feel any pleasure in his conviction though. For whatever faults he may have had, to be looking at possible decades in jail for something like options backdating is crazy. People commit rape and murder and don't spend as much time in the hoosegow.
What is even more nuts is that he didn't make any money on it himself. That's right. Reyes backdated options for other people but not himself. That suggests to me that he really didn't think it was illegal. Did he think it was scummy? That's between him and his confessor. You don't put people in jail because they do lousy things only illegal ones.
I'm sure this is scaring the heck out of others who sit on corporate boards or are corporate executives in public companies. It's one thing to make an accounting mistake - or even to bend the rules a bit - and have to pay fines to make it go away. It is something else entirely to find yourself a character in HBO's OZ. Okay, make them resign in disgrace if they were caught trying to game the system. Make them pay back the ill gotten gains. But send them up the river? That's not "sending a message that corporate malfeasance won't be tolerated!" It's going after rich people because they're rich and sending them to reeducation camps. Where's the Gang of Four when you need them.
So, if any of you are feeling smug and thinking that Greg got his comeuppance, don't tell me about it. He doesn't deserve this and everyone knows it. This should be a civil not a criminal issue. If he was a bad boy and made an accounting boo-boo, then take away his piggy bank. Don't lock him up in the slammer. That's not justice. It's vengeance and we should be better then that.
Thursday, August 02, 2007
Now keep in mind, they took my renewal in April. Late April at that. There is no way that they did not know that they were having severe financial troubles. I admit, businesses on the downward spiral will often delude themselves into thinking that they will somehow survive when it's not possible. However, to make a year long commitment at a time like that is unconscionable.
This will hurt the nascent VoIP industry because it will literally crush confidence in the very idea of VoIP. People will say “First Vonage runs into trouble. Now Sunrocket does a meltdown. No way am I putting my money into that.” It is for exactly this reason that early phone companies were allowed to be monopolies for awhile. It was necessary that they have the time to build their infrastructure and create critical mass in the marketplace before having to compete on price. Without that luxury, it will be very hard for any VoIP company to succeed.
Here's the big problem: though it costs less to deploy a VoIP system then a traditional land line or cellular system, the costs aren't zero. The capital costs can still be significant even if future operating costs are lower.
Even that assertion is unproved. In a consumer business, technology costs can often pale in comparison with marketing and customer service costs. So, even if the cost of deploying and maintaining the system is less, the cost of acquiring and maintaining the customers is not that different. In order to maintain their organizations and make money, VoIP companies will have to charge nearly as much money as a traditional provider such as Verizon. Yet, they can't begin to offer the service Verizon offers.
The Sunrocket implosion will drive a stake into the heart of VoIP. The cost differential for most VoIP services is not enough to put up with the uncertainty, difficult installations, poor service, and relatively lousy call quality. VoIP is a technology, not a business. As a technology, it will continue to exist within major providers' or corporate networks. It may eventually lead to the elimination of long distance in North America. As a business, it's doomed to die.
So, what's in store for consumer VoIP? First, the dozen or so standalone VoIP phone companies won't survive. All the clever advertising won't restore consumer confidence. Second, some of the better companies will sell their networks to traditional phone companies as a way of providing cheaper service than a land line. Finally, the only service to have that wonderful combination of critical mass, low cost, and marketing cachet, namely Skype, will evolve into a more important and ubiquitous utility. That is assuming they can get a cheap Skype phone out.
Other than that, I think that Sunrocket is striking the death knell for consumer VoIP services.